Worked examples · Article 52 of 60
Worked example: the newest record
A 24-month claim filed one day before the snapshot.
The most recent cited record in the ledger is a prediction about companies becoming builders rather than buyers of models, with a two-year horizon. It was made the day before this snapshot was taken.
It is included to show that the ledger is a living file rather than a historical anthology, and to demonstrate how quickly a claim can go from a conference stage to a datestamped row.
| Claim | Horizon | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| <div><em>“Within the next 24 months, the majority of companies won’t just consume artificial intelligence. They will become AI builders, customizing, controlling, and running their own models.”</em><br /><span class="tiny">Clément Delangue — Miami AI Summit, 2026-10-24</span></div> | By October 2028 | <span class="verdict" data-v="open">Open</span> |
| <div><em>“I would hope we have the candidate for that in the next couple of years for the first like really major thing.”</em><br /><span class="tiny">Sam Altman — Interview with Matthew Berman, 2026-10-21</span></div> | By October 2028 | <span class="verdict" data-v="open">Open</span> |
| <div><em>“It’s soon. I’m updating nearer and nearer.”</em><br /><span class="tiny">Demis Hassabis — WSJ Magazine profile, 2026-10-21</span></div> | 2028 – 2029 | <span class="verdict" data-v="open">Open</span> |
Cited records
63
Open clocks
43
Graded
20
Figures computed from docs/predictions/ledger.json at build time. Every claim quoted on this page carries its own sources in the ledger.