Worked examples · Article 49 of 60

Worked example: Modi's 2027

A national ambition with a named year, which is the strongest form of a public promise.

Snapshot 2026-10-25 240 claims 138 citations 209 people

A named year in a national address is a different object from a named year in an interview. It is repeated by ministries, budgeted for, and eventually counted by somebody.

That is why the government records in this ledger, few as they are, tend to matter more than their number suggests.

Official photograph of Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
Governments & states

Narendra Modi

Prime Minister · Government of India

AI adoption at population scale is an infrastructure project, not a laboratory project.

1 claims recorded · 0 graded · 1 still open
Photograph: Prime Minister's Office, India — Government Open Data Licence — India

“We have resolved that in the coming one year, we will work to provide AI skill training to one crore youth, so that the youth of our nation possess the capability to lead the world in the domain of AI as well.”

Independence Day address, Red Fort, New Delhi2026-08-15By August 2027Open
ClaimHorizonVerdict
<div><em>“AI will come to feel more trustworthy—and it will remove the tells that let readers know they’re encountering AI slop in the wild.”</em><br /><span class="tiny">Arvind Narayanan — Fortune interview on journalism and AI, 2026-10-06</span></div>Open-ended, near term<span class="verdict" data-v="open">Open</span>
<div><em>“Doomsday discussions distract from harms already occurring.”</em><br /><span class="tiny">Emily M. Bender — Bloomberg Technology interview, 2026-10-06</span></div>Standing claim<span class="verdict" data-v="open">Open</span>
<div><em>“Instead of discussing faulty, unreliable systems, tech leaders are marketing their systems as all-knowing, superpowerful, superintelligent, and lobbying for self-policing and…”</em><br /><span class="tiny">Timnit Gebru — Democracy Now! interview after the Right Livelihood Award, 2026-10-01</span></div>Current policy cycle<span class="verdict" data-v="contested">Contested</span>

Figures computed from docs/predictions/ledger.json at build time. Every claim quoted on this page carries its own sources in the ledger.