Evidence · Article 39 of 60
How tags are used, and how they are not
Tags help retrieval. They are not evidence.
A tag is an editorial act, and like every editorial act in this project it is visible rather than hidden. Two records with the same tag are not thereby related; they are merely findable together.
The rule is simple: if a tag carries an argument, the argument belongs in prose, not in metadata.
- Tags describe subject, never verdict.
- Every tag is lowercase and singular where possible.
- A tag that appears once is kept, because retrieval is not a popularity contest.
- No tag asserts causation.
| Claim | Horizon | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| <div><em>“Within the next 24 months, the majority of companies won’t just consume artificial intelligence. They will become AI builders, customizing, controlling, and running their own models.”</em><br /><span class="tiny">Clément Delangue — Miami AI Summit, 2026-10-24</span></div> | By October 2028 | <span class="verdict" data-v="open">Open</span> |
| <div><em>“They’re clearly dominating on open models right now, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they start dominating at the frontier either by the end of this year or next year at the rate of progress.”</em><br /><span class="tiny">Clément Delangue — CNBC “Squawk on the Street”, 2026-08-03</span></div> | End 2026 – end 2027 | <span class="verdict" data-v="open">Open</span> |
| <div><em>“Our prediction about the importance of open-source models was maybe a little bit too ambitious and too early.”</em><br /><span class="tiny">Clément Delangue — Observer interview, 2026-07-20</span></div> | Retrospective | <span class="verdict" data-v="validated">Validated</span> |
| <div><em>“Open-weight models will become the default substrate for most software.”</em><br /><span class="tiny">Nat Friedman — Editorial summary</span></div> | Standing position | <span class="verdict" data-v="unrated">Unrated</span> |
| <div><em>“Open and sovereign models will be the European answer to concentrated capability.”</em><br /><span class="tiny">Arthur Mensch — Editorial summary</span></div> | Standing position | <span class="verdict" data-v="unrated">Unrated</span> |
Figures computed from docs/predictions/ledger.json at build time. Every claim quoted on this page carries its own sources in the ledger.